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Öğe Inter-party vote movements in Turkey: The sources of AKP votes in 2007(Bilgesel Yayincilik San & Tic Ltd, 2009-12) Başlevent, Cem; Akarca, Ali T.Using data drawn from a nationwide voter tendencies survey conducted shortly before the July 2007 parliamentary election in Turkey, inter-party vote movements during the 2002-2007 period are investigated with the Justice and Development Party (AKP) as the focal point. A descriptive analysis relying on two and four-way partitions of the data set reveals that, in comparison to the relatively small group of 'deserters' from the party, the 'newcomers' to the AKP are younger more female, more satisfied with the performance of the economy, and more likely to be pro-EU membership. The data also show that AKP supporters are less educated and less concerned about the threats to secularism than the rest of the voters. The key finding of the econometric work is that economic evaluations - especially retrospective ones - have a strong association with the party choice in the 2007 elections.Öğe The region-of-origin effect on voting behavior: The case of Turkey's internal migrants(Bilgesel Yayincilik San & Tic Ltd, 2010-12) Başlevent, Cem; Akarca, Ali T.In this paper the relative importance of the origins and destinations of Turkey's internal migrants on their voting behavior is examined. By using a pre-election survey from 2007, it is first demonstrated that migrants vote differently than non-migrants. Then province-level election data is brought into the analysis to determine whether migrants political tendencies are associated more with the voting patterns prevailing in their host provinces or the provinces they are originally from. According to the results of the econometric models estimated, a positive and significant 'origin' effect exists Jar most migrants, but a significant 'destination' effect is lacking. The origin effect estimate implies that if the vote share of a party exceeds its nationwide average by 10 percentage points in a given province, then the probability that this party will be chosen fry a migrant born in that province increases by about 5 percentage points. This finding is attributed to continued cultural and economic ties of the migrants with their origins and with fellow migrants from their hometowns at their destinations.