Classification of Hot News for Financial Forecast Using NLP Techniques

Küçük Resim Yok

Tarih

2018

Dergi Başlığı

Dergi ISSN

Cilt Başlığı

Yayıncı

IEEE

Erişim Hakkı

info:eu-repo/semantics/closedAccess

Özet

Complex dynamics of stock market could be attributed to various factors ranging from company's financial ratios to investors' sentiment and reaction to Financial news. The paper aims to classify Financial news articles as hot (significant) and non-hot (non-significant). The study is carried out using Dow Jones newswires text feed for a period of four years spanning from 2013 till 2017. Bag-of-ngrams appraoch and Term Frequency-Inverse Document Frequency (TF-IDF) were used for text representation and text weighting, respectively. Four linear classifiers, namely, Logistic Regression (LR), Support Vector Machine (SVM), k Nearest Neighbours (kNN) and multinomial Naive Bayes (mNB) were used. Grid search was used for hyperparameter optimisation. Performance of the classifiers was evaluated using five measures, namely, success rate, precision, recall, F1 measure and area under receiver operating characteristics curve. LR and SVM outperformed other models in terms of all five performance measures for both Bag-of-ngrams model and Bag-of-ngrams model with TF-IDF approach. Use of TF-IDF improved performance of the classifiers, especially, in case of mNB. This study serves as a stepping stone in identification of important/relevant news, which could used as predictors for stock price forecasting.

Açıklama

IEEE International Conference on Big Data (Big Data) -- DEC 10-13, 2018 -- Seattle, WA

Anahtar Kelimeler

Financial News, Natural Language Processing, Classification, Hot News, Financial Forecasts, Sentiment, Words

Kaynak

2018 Ieee International Conference on Big Data (Big Data)

WoS Q Değeri

N/A

Scopus Q Değeri

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